If you log on to georgiavotes.com you’ll see that, as of yesterday in the 2022 general election, 816,884 people have voted. At this point in the 2018 general election, that number was 520,290. So total turnout for the 2022 general election is 57% higher.
You can check out some graphs of in-person voting demographics by clicking here.
So far, the total black early voting turnout (a combination of early voting and absentees received) is 27.3 percent while the early white turnout is 60.6 percent. Asian and Hispanic are in the “other” category. Democrat strategists agree the black vote (mostly reliably Democratic) needs to turn out far more by Nov. 8th if gubernatorial candidate Stacey Abrams can win outright and if U.S. Senate candidate Raphael Warnock can reach 50 percent plus one to avoid a runoff.
Keep in mind that in 2018, the overall black percentage among the early voting was 30.3 percent, white was 57.1. And among everyone who voted in 2018, whether election day or earlier, the count was 28.9 percent black and 59.0 percent white. Pundits and campaign consultants are especially wondering if the black vote could hit 33 percent and if the white vote will top 62 percent. If so, the vote would be close but could tip to the Republican statewide ticket.
The black-dominated 11th Congressional District, represented by Rep. David Scott, is already turning out heavily. So is Fulton County (but north Fulton is basically Republican). And while obviously there will be a significant number of whites voting for Democrats statewide, Cobb County (even though it went to President Joe Biden in 2020) remains a huge Republican turnout area and is overperforming. So is GOP-heavy Greene County as well conservative northeast Georgia counties. Early turnout has also been running particularly high in GOP-leaning Forsyth and Columbia counties.
All in all, as this week dawns, Republicans appear to be in good shape in terms of statewide turnout. So far.
