An InsiderAdvantage/Fox5/Morris News “SuperPoll” conducted with our partners OpinionSavvy July 15-16 shows Jack Kingston with a lead over his opponent David Perdue that is just outside the survey’s margin of error. The “SuperPoll”, which includes both telephone and online surveys of 696 likely voters in the Georgia GOP primary runoff to be held next Tuesday, is weighted for age, race, and gender. It has a margin of error of 3.7% with a confidence level of 95%. Crosstabs are at the bottom of the page.
The results are:
InsiderAdvantage CEO/Fox 5 Political Analyst Matt Towery: “This survey indicates that Kingston has managed to retake momentum in the race with under a week to go. This is partly due to the fact that the Perdue camp and the outside groups supporting him have not pursued the one issue that was damaging the Kingston effort, that being issues related to a campaign fundraiser for Kingston involving a foreign national with a criminal background and some of his employees. Perdue’s campaign and his supporters have instead emphasized their candidate’s “political outsider” position as a candidate running against the “insider” Kingston. While that theme has worked well with older voters, it has lost its magic having run long enough to pull in all of the votes in can.”
Towery continues “Kingston leads among all age groups except those age 65 and over, where Perdue has a two point edge. Among those who identify themselves as Republicans Kingston leads by a 53-36% margin. Those who say they are “independent” voters give Perdue the edge by seven percentage points.”
Matt Towery concludes “The next round of ads could change the race but generally speaking attack ads launched going into the weekend before an election rarely change the outcome of a contest. As we have stated numerous times, this could be a close election and polling such a contest with such low voter interest is a challenge. But as of now Kingston appears to be clinging to a lead with momentum having moved his in his direction.”